據(jù)8月16日Oil Now報(bào)道，在8月16日亞洲早盤交易中，原油期貨價(jià)格走低。作為石油消費(fèi)大國(guó)的中國(guó)出臺(tái)的限制措施，影響了石油的流動(dòng)性，加上美國(guó)新冠肺炎病例增多，投資者對(duì)德爾塔變異病毒快速蔓延的擔(dān)憂重新出現(xiàn)。

　　新加坡時(shí)間上午10:51 （格林尼治時(shí)間02:51），洲際交易所10月布倫特原油期貨合約較之前收盤價(jià)下跌80美分/桶(1.13%)，至69.79美元/桶，而紐約商品交易所9月輕質(zhì)低硫原油合約價(jià)格下跌77美分/桶(1.13%)，至67.67美元/桶。

　　Vanda Insights首席執(zhí)行官Vandana Hari表示，“對(duì)變異病毒的擔(dān)憂正進(jìn)一步控制著石油市場(chǎng)情緒。西方夏季旅游和旅游業(yè)的繁榮正在逐漸消失，病毒繼續(xù)在世界各地蔓延”。

　　分析師表示，8月16日油價(jià)下跌可能只是短暫的，因?yàn)殡S著本周的進(jìn)展，投資者需要時(shí)間來重新評(píng)估供求前景，“貿(mào)易模式顯示出的是恐懼和從眾心理，而不是冷靜地重新調(diào)整需求。最近幾周，我們看到了類似的‘恐慌星期一’”。

　　美國(guó)新冠肺炎病例數(shù)量持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。8月12日，美國(guó)疾病控制與預(yù)防中心報(bào)告了自2021年1月以來的最高病例數(shù)，為146949例。截至8月13日，7天移動(dòng)平均數(shù)為119523例，是7月初平均值的6倍多。

　　此外，需求前景仍然高度不確定。上周，國(guó)際能源署（IEA）指出，由于亞洲其他地區(qū)的新冠肺炎疫情重新出現(xiàn)，7月份的石油需求下降了12萬桶/天，并將2021年下半年的需求預(yù)測(cè)下調(diào)了60萬桶/天，至9815萬桶/天。

　　與此同時(shí)，歐佩克在8月12日表示，其對(duì)2021年和2022年的全球需求預(yù)測(cè)保持不變，未來幾個(gè)月石油需求應(yīng)繼續(xù)高于供應(yīng)。

　　王佳晶 摘譯自 Oil Now

　　原文如下：

　　Delta tightening grip on oil market

　　Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning Asian trade Aug. 16 as investor concerns over the fast-spreading delta variant resurfaced amid restrictive movement curbs in oil consuming giant China and growing number of cases in the US.

　　At 10:51 am Singapore time (0251 GMT), the ICE October Brent futures contract was down 80 cents/b (1.13%) from the previous close at $69.79/b, while the NYMEX September light sweet crude contract similarly fell 77 cents/b (1.13%) at $67.67/b.

　　“The delta [variant] worries are tightening their grip on oil market sentiment,” Vandana Hari, CEO of Vanda Insights, said. “The summer travel and tourism boom in the West is petering out, while the virus continues to fester in pockets across the world.”

　　Analysts said the Aug. 16 dip in oil markers may be short-lived as investors take time to reassess the supply-demand outlook as the week progresses.

　　“The trade patterns suggest fear and a herd mentality more than a cool-headed recalibration of demand. We have seen a few such “panic Mondays” in recent weeks,” Hari said.

　　COVID-19 case numbers in the US have continued to grow. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Aug. 12 reported its highest number of COVID-19 cases since January 2021 at 146,949. The seven-day moving average stood at 119,523 as of Aug. 13, more than six times the average at the start of July.

　　The demand outlook remains highly uncertain. Last week, the International Energy Agency pointed to a 120,000 b/d drop in July oil demand because of the coronavirus resurgence in other parts of Asia, and had cut its second-half 2021 demand estimate by 600,000 b/d to 98.15 million b/d.

　　OPEC, meanwhile, said on Aug. 12 it was keeping its global demand forecasts for 2021 and 2022 unchanged, and that oil demand should remain higher than supply over the coming months.

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